Socio-Economic Scenarios

IPCC publications

1. IPCC (2001), Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
   CambridgeUniversityPress, UK
   J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden and D. Xiaosu (Eds.)
   
   
2. IPCC (2001), Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation & Vulnerability
   Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
   Cambridge UniversityPress, UK
   James J. McCarthy, Osvaldo F. Canziani, Neil A. Leary, David J. Dokken and Kasey S. White (Eds.)
   
   
3. IPCC (2001), Climate Change 2001: Mitigation Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) .
   Cambridge UniversityPress, UK
   Bert Metz, Ogunlade Davidson, Rob Swart and Jiahua Pan (Eds.)
   
   
4. IPCC (2000), Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge
   Cambridge University Press 2000.
   
   
5. IPCC (1997), Revised IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse gas Inventories
   Reference Manual, Vol. 3, USA, Bracknell.
   
   
6. IPCC (1994), Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios
   Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 233-304.
   

1. EIA: 2002, (updated periodically). 'Online Country Analysis Briefs'
   Energy Information Administration, US Department of Energy. Washington DC.
   http://www.eia.doe.gov/international
   
   
2. United Nations (1992), Long Range World Population Projections: Two Centuries of Population Growth 1950-2150
   New York: United Nations.
   
   
3. United Nations. (1996), World Population Prospects: The 1996 Revision, Annex Tables (preprint)
   New York: United Nations.
   
   
4. Exploring Sustainable Development, 29 pp.
   WBCSD (World Business Council for Sustainable Development), (1998)
   
   
5. WEC (World Energy Council), (1993), Energy for Tomorrow's World
   Kogan Page Ltd., London, 320 pp.
   
   
6. World Bank (1994), Determinants of cross-country income inequality: an augmented Kuznets hypothesis
   World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1246, World Bank, Washington DC.
   Milanovic, Branko
   
   
7. World Bank (1995), World Population Projections 1992-93 edition: Estimates and projections with related demographic statistics
   World Bank, Washington DC.
   Edward Bos, My T. Vu, Ann Levin, and Rodolfo A. Bulatao

Government of India/Institutions Publications

1. Census of India 2001, Provisional Population Totals, Chapter 4, Series 1, India.
   
   
2. CPCB: 1991, Status report on Ambient air quality, New Delhi
   Central Pollution Control Board, Government of India.
   
   
3. CPCB: 1996, Status report on Ambient air quality, New Delhi
   Central Pollution Control Board, Government of India.
   
   
4. GOI (2001), Approach Paper To The Tenth Five-Year Plan (2002-2007)
   Planning Commission, Government Of India,New Delhi (1st September, 2001)
   
   
5. GOI (2000), Economic Survey of India 1999-2000, New Delhi
   Ministry of Finance, Government of India,New Delhi.
   
   
6. GOI (2002), Report of the Expert Committee on Auto Fuel Policy
   Government of India New Delhi.
   
   
7. MoEF (2001). Delhi Urban Environment and Infrastructure Improvement Project (DUEIIP), Delhi 2021
   Ministry of Environment and Forests and Government of National Capital Territory of Delhi (Planning Department), January 2001.
   
   
8. CMIE (Center for Monitoring Indian Economy) 1999, India's Energy Sector, Mumbai
   Center for Monitoring Indian Economy.
   
   
9. CMIE (Center for Monitoring Indian Economy) 2002, Energy, Mumbai
   Economic Intelligence Service, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy.
   
   
10. EPS (2000), Sixteenth Electric Power Survey of India
    Central Electricity Authority, New Delhi, India.
    

1. 1995: An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios. In: Climate Change 1994
   Alcamo, J., A. Bouwman, J. Edmonds, A. Grübler, T. Morita, and A. Sugandhy
   
   
2. 'Regional and sectoral assessment of greenhouse gas emissions in India'
   Atmospheric Environment 35 2679-2695, August 2000.
   Bhattacharya, Sumana; Garg Amit; Shukla P.R and Dadhwal, V.K (2001)
   
   
3. Parivesh Newsletter: June 1999, New Delhi
   Central Pollution Control Board, Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of India.
   Biswas, D. (ed.): 1999,
   
   
4. 'Results of Sulfur Dioxide auction suggest companies anticipate gentler enforcement'
   Environment Reporter, 33 (13), ISSN 1521-9410, March 29, 2002, pp. 678-679.
   Bologna, M.: 2002 
   
   
5. 'Linking demand and supplies: Regional cooperation in South Asia'
   In P. Audinet, P.R. Shukla and F. Grare (eds). India's Energy: Essays on Sustainable Development, New Delhi, Manohar Publication, pp 225-238.
   Boquerat, G.: 2000
   
   
6. The Environmental Kuznets Curve: Exploring a fresh specification
   NBER Working paper series, Working Paper 8001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, USA.
   Bradford, David F., Schlieckert R., Shore, Stephen H.: 2000,
   
   
7. Climate change mitigation in developing countries: Brazil, China, India, Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey
   Pew Center on Global Climate Change.
   Chandler, W., Schaeffer, R., Dadi, Z., Shukla, P.R., Tudela, F., Davidson, O. and Alpan-Atamer, S.: 2002,
   
   
8. "Electric Power Options In India", Developing Countries and Global Climate Change
   Prepared for the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, October 1999.
   Chandler, William; Ghosh, Debyani; Logan Jeffrey and Shukla, P.R. (1999)
   
   
9. India's Energy Security Policy: A Case for Nuclear Power
   Dadwal, Shebonti Ray Research Fellow, IDSA
   http://www.idsa-india.org/an-nov9-4.html
   
   
10. 'Future Scenarios of Inventories of GHGs and Urban Pollutants from Delhi and Calcutta'
    Proceedings of IGES/APN Mega-City Project 23-25 January 2002, Kitakyushu Japan.
    Dasgupta A.; Mitra, A.P and Sharma, C. (2002)
    
    
11. 'Why a 100 year time horizon should be used for global warming mitigation calculations
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 7: pp 19-30.
    Fearnside, P.M.:2002
    
    
12. Energy sector policies and Mitigation of GHG Emissions from India
    In Climate Change Economics and Policy: Indian Perspectives, Toman M. ed., Resources For the Future Publication, Washington DC.
    Garg A, Ghosh D and Shukla PR (2003)
    
    
13. 'Regional and sectoral assessment of greenhouse gas emissions in India'
    Atmospheric Environment 35 2679-2695, August 2000.
    Garg Amit; Bhattacharya, S.; Shukla P.R and Dadhwal, V.K (2001a)
    
    
14. 'Integrated modelling system for energy and environment policies'
    OPSEARCH (Special Issue on Energy and Environment Modelling), Vol. 38, No. 1, February.
    Garg, A., Ghosh, D., and Shukla, P.R.: 2001
    
    
15. 'Large Point Source (LPS) Analysis for India: Regional and Sectoral Analysis'
    Atmospheric Environment, 36 (2002) 213-224.
    Garg, A., Kapshe, M. and Shukla, P.R. (2002b)
    
    
16. 'Sub-region (District) and sector level SO2 and NOX Emissions for India: Assessment of Inventories and Mitigation Flexibility'
    Atmospheric Environment, 35, 703-713.
    Garg, A., Shukla, P.R., Bhattacharya, S. and Dadhwal, V.K.: 2001a
    
    
17. 'Renewable Energy Technologies- Mitigation Potential and Operational Strategies'
    In Climate Change in India: Issues, Concerns and Opportunities- Eds. P.R.Shukla, Subodh K. Sharma and P.Venkata Ramana, Tata McGraw-Hill Publishing Company Ltd, New Delhi.
    Garg, A.; Ghosh, Debyani, Ramana, V. and Shukla, P.R. (2002a)
    
    
18. Technologies, Policies and Measures for Energy and Environment Future
    Doctoral Thesis, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India.
    Garg, Amit (2000)
    
    
19. Emissions Inventory of India
    Tata McGraw-Hill Publishing Company Ltd, New Delhi.
    Garg, Amit and Shukla, P.R. (2002)
    
    
20. Dynamics of Transport and Energy Systems - History of Development and a Scenario for future, Austria
    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    Grubler, A., Nakicenivic, N. and Schafer, A.: 1993
    
    
21. 'The US Utility Perspective on Technology Transfer through the CDM',
    Presented in the Workshop on Development and Financing of Climate Change Partnership Projects, Organized by Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India, December 9-10.
    Guha, Manoj K.: 1999
    
    
22. Industrial Pollution in Economic Development: Kuznets revisited'
    Development Research Group, World Bank, Washington DC.
    Hettige, H., Mani, M. and Wheeler, D.: 1997
    
    
23. 'Long-term-energy scenarios: the approach of The World Energy Council
    Global Energy Issues, Vol. 13, Nos. 1-3, pp.277-284.
    Jefferson, M. (2000)
    
    
24. 'Economic uncertainty and business decision-making'.
    In Beyond Positive Economics, J. Wiseman (ed.), Macmillan Press, London, pp. 122-159.
    Jefferson, M., (1983)
    
    
25. Climate Policy Assessment- Asia-Pacific Integrated Modeling
    Springer-Verlag Publications (Forthcoming).
    Kainuma, M.; Matsuoka, Y. and Morita, T. (2003)
    
    
26. Energy-Environment Policy and Technology Selection: Modeling and Analysis for India
    Doctoral Thesis, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India.
    Kanudia, A.(1996)
    
    
27. 'Application of AIM/Local Model to India Using Area and Large Point Sources'
    In M. Kainuma, Y. Matsuoka, and T. Morita (eds.). Climate Policy Assessment: Asia-Pacific Integrated Modelling, Tokyo, Springer-Verlag, Japan.
    Kapshe, M., Garg, A., and Shukla, P. R.: 2002
    
    
28. Final report of the second phase of the Dutch National Research Programme(NRP) on Global Air Pollution and Climate Change (NRP II) 1995-2001
    Programme Office NRP, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
    Kok, M.T.J.,G.J. Heij, A. Verhagen, C.A. Rovers, 2002
    
    
29. Six lectures on economic growth
    New York, Free Press.
    Kuznets, S.S.: 1958
    
    
30. Energy and Environment Strategies for a Sustainable Future: Analysis with the Indian MARKAL Model
    New Delhi, Allied Publishers.
    Loulou, R., Shukla, P. R., and Kanudia, A.: 1997
    
    
31. Integrated Modeling and Analysis of Long-term Energy and Emission Trajectories for India
    Paper Presented at International Workshop on Climate Policy in Asia , Organized by Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) Tokyo, Japan, December 17-18.
    Nair, Rajesh; Rana, Ashish and Shukla, P.R. (2001)
    
    
32. 'Methodology for Exploring Co-benefits of CO2 and SO2 Mitigation Policies in India using AIM/Enduse model'
    In M. Kainuma, Y. Matsuoka and T. Morita (ed.), Climate Policy Assessment: Asia-Pacific Integrated Modelling, Tokyo, Japan, Springer-Verlag.
    Pandey, R. and Shukla P.R.: 2002
    
    
33. 'Energy policy modelling: agenda for developing countries'
    Energy Policy, 30 (2): 97-106
    Pandey, R.: 2002
    
    
34. 'Emissions scenarios for the IPCC. An update: Assumptions, methodology, and results'
    Support document for Chapter A3. In Climate Change 1992: Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment, J.T. Houghton, B.A. Callandar, S.K. Varney (eds.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    Pepper, W.J., J. Leggett, R. Swart, J. Wasson, J. Edmonds, and I. Mintzer, (1992)
    
    
35. 'Energy Economy Model Applications for India: Long term GHG Trends and Mitigation Costs'
    In Climate Change Economics and Policy: Indian Perspectives, Toman M. ed., Resources For the Future Publication, Washington DC (Forthcoming).
    Rana A and Shukla PR. (2002)
    
    
36. "Macroeconomic Models for Long-Term Energy and Emissions in India'
    OPSEARCH, Feb 2001.
    Rana, A. and Shukla, P.R. (2001)
    
    
37. 'Bending the Curve: Toward Global Sustainability'
    A Report of the Global Scenario Group, PoleStar Series Report 8. Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm, 128 pp.
    Raskin, P., G. Gallopin, P. Gutman, A. Hammond, and R. Swart, (1998)
    
    
38. 'Nitrous Oxide emission from agricultural lands in Russia'
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 7(1), 31-44.
    Romanovskaya, A.A., Gytarsky, M.L., Karaban, R.T., Konushkov, D.E., and Nazarov, I.M.: 2002
    
    
39. Japan's experience in the battle against air pollution: Working towards sustainable development
    Committee on Japan's experience in the battle against air pollution, Japan, The Pollution-Related Health Damage Compensation and Prevention Association.
    Sawa, T.: 1997
    
    
40. 'Brazil's electric power choices and their corresponding carbon emissions implications'
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 6(1), 47-69.
    Schaeffer, R., Logan, J., Szklo, A.S., Chandler, W., and Marques, J.C.deS.: 2001
    
    
41. The Art of the Longview: Three global scenarios to 2005.
    Doubleday Publications.
    Schwartz, P., (1991)
    
    
42. 'Energy Needs, Choices and Possibilities- Scenarios to 2050', Exploring the future, Global Business Environment, 2001.
    Shell International 2001
    
    
43. Climate Change Mitigation: Shaping the Indian Strategy
    P.R. Shukla (ed.), Allied Publishers, New Delhi.
    Shukla P.R. and Pandey R (1999a)'
    
    
44. The Modeling of Policy Options for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in India'
    Ambio, 25(4), 240-248.
    Shukla, P.R. (1996)
    
    
45. Energy Strategies and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Models and Policy Analysis for India
    Allied Publishers, New Delhi, India.
    Shukla, P.R. (1997b)
    
    
46. 'Energy Emissions Projections for India Industries using AIM/ENDUSE Model'
    In Energy and Emissions Studies using AIM Model- Eds. T.Morita, Y. Matsuoka and M.Kainuma, Springer-Verlag Pulications, 2002.
    Shukla, P.R. and Pandey, R. (1999b)
    
    
47. 'Energy efficiency and reduction of CO2 emissions through 2015: The Brazilian cement industry'
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 5(3), 297-318.
    Soares, M.T. and Tolmasquim, M.T.: 2000
    
    
48. How to build scenarios.
    WIRED (Special Edition: The Future of the Future, October 13 1995), Condé Nast Publications, San Francisco, CA.
    http://wired.lycos.com/wired/scenarios/build.htm
    Wilkerson, L., 1995
    
    
49. Anticipating Change: Scenarios as a tool for adaptive forest management a guide
    Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia.
    Wollenberg, Eva, David Edmunds and Louise Buck, December 2000