Future Emission Projections

IPCC Publications

1. IPCC (2001), Climate Change 2001
   The Scientific Basis Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) .Xiaosu(Eds.)CambridgeUniversityPress,UK
   J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden and D.
   


2. IPCC (2001), Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation & Vulnerability
   Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
   Cambridge UniversityPress,UK
   James J. McCarthy, Osvaldo F. Canziani, Neil A. Leary, David J. Dokken and Kasey S. White (Eds.)



3. IPCC (2001), Climate Change 2001
   Mitigation Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) .Cambridge UniversityPress,UK
   Bert Metz, Ogunlade Davidson, Rob Swart and Jiahua Pan (Eds.)
   


4. IPCC (1997), Revised IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse gas Inventories
   Reference Manual, Vol. 3, USA, Bracknell.



5. IPCC (1996), "Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories- 1996"

Other International Agency/Country Publications

1. Emissions of greenhouse gases in the United States
   Energy Information Administration, USA, 1999.



2. Online Country Analysis Briefs
   Energy Information Administration, US Department of Energy. Washington DC.EIA 2002. (updated periodically)
   http://www.eia.doe.gov/international/



3. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change National Communication of the Republic of China (Taiwan)
   Environment Protection Agency, USA.EPA 2002



4. Sixteenth Electric Power Survey of India
   Central Electricity Authority, New Delhi, India.EPS (2000)



5. UNEP 1996, 'Flexible and rigid foams',
   Sourcebook of Technologies for Protecting the Ozone Layer, September.



6. Report of the Technology and Economic Assessment Panel
   UNEP 2000, TEAP, April
   


7. Japan's third National Communication under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
   UNFCCC 2002
   


8. Long Range World Population Projections: Two Centuries of Population Growth 1950-2150, New York: United Nations
   United Nations (1992).



9. World Population Prospects: The 1996 Revision, Annex Tables (preprint), New York: United Nations
   United Nations (1996)



10. Exploring Sustainable Development, 29 pp
    WBCSD (World Business Council for Sustainable Development), (1998)



11. Energy for Tomorrow's World, Kogan Page Ltd., London, 320 pp.
    WEC (World Energy Council), (1993)



12. Estimates and projections with related demographic statistics
    Edward Bos, My T. Vu, Ann Levin, and Rodolfo A. Bulatao, World Bank, Washington DC
    World Bank: 1995, World Population Projections 1992-93 edition

Government Of India/Institutions Publications

1. Provisional Population Totals, Chapter 4, Series 1, India
   Census of India 2001



2. Approach Paper To The Tenth Five-Year Plan (2002-2007)
   Planning Commission, Government Of India, New Delhi (1st September, 2001)



3. Economic Survey of India 1999-2000
   New Delhi, Ministry of Finance, Government of IndiaGOI (Government of India): 2000



4. Report of the Expert Committee on Auto Fuel Policy
   August 2002, New Delhi, India.GOI 2002



5. Umbrella refrigeration project, India
   Ozone Cell, Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of India, New Delhi.MoEF 2000



6. India country program
   Ozone Cell, Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of India, New Delhi.MoEF 1999



7. Delhi Urban Environment and Infrastructure Improvement Project (DUEIIP) Delhi 2021
   Ministry of Environment and Forests and Government of National Capital Territory of Delhi (Planning Department), Government of India, New Delhi. MoEF & NCTD 2001



8. Status report on Ambient air quality
   New Delhi, Central Pollution Control Board, Government of IndiaCPCB: 1991



9. Status report on Ambient air quality
   New Delhi, Central Pollution Control Board, Government of IndiaCPCB: 1996.



10. India's Energy Sector
    Mumbai, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy.CMIE (Center for Monitoring Indian Economy): 1999



11. CMIE (Center for Monitoring Indian Economy): 2002, Energy, Mumbai, Economic Intelligence Service, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy.
    

Authored Publications
Assessment of future HFCs, PFCs and SF6 Emissions during 2000-2030

1. Retrofitting of domestic and small capacity commercial refrigeration appliances using hydrocarbon blends
   Seminar on ODS Phase Out: Solutions for the Refrigeration Sector, Kuta, Bali, Indonesia, May 5-7, 1999
   Agarwal, R. S.



2. An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios
   In: Climate Change 1994, Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the IPCC IS92 Emission Scenarios, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 233-304
   Alcamo, J., A. Bouwman, J. Edmonds, A. Grübler, T. Morita, and A. Sugandhy, 1995



3. Protecting the ozone layer
   Earthscan, UK, 2002, pg.219
   Andersen S. O. and Sarma K. M.



4. Mobile air-conditioning: HFC-134a emissions and emission reduction strategies
   Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999
   Baker, J.



5. Contribution of HFC Blowing Agents to Global Warming, a Producers View
   Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999
   Barthelemy, P.



6. PFC, HFC, and SF6 emissions from semiconductor manufacturing
   Expert Group Meeting on Good Practice in Inventory Preparation - Industrial Processes and The New Gases, IPCC/OECD/IEA Program on National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Washington, D.C., Jan. 1999
   Bartos, S.C. and Burton, C.S.



7. Regional and sectoral assessment of greenhouse gas emissions in India
   Atmospheric Environment 35 2679-2695, August 2000
   Bhattacharya, Sumana; Garg Amit; Shukla P.R and Dadhwal, V.K (2001)



8. Parivesh Newsletter: June 1999
   New Delhi, Central Pollution Control Board, Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of India
   Biswas, D. (ed.): 1999



9. Results of Sulfur Dioxide auction suggest companies anticipate gentler enforcement
   Environment Reporter, 33 (13), ISSN 1521-9410, March 29, 2002, pp. 678-679
   Bologna, M.: 2002



10. Linking demand and supplies: Regional cooperation in South Asia
    In P. Audinet, P.R. Shukla and F. Grare (eds). India's Energy: Essays on Sustainable Development, New Delhi, Manohar Publication, pp 225-238
    Boquerat, G.: 2000



11. The Environmental Kuznets Curve: Exploring a fresh specification
    NBER Working paper series, Working Paper 8001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, USA.
    Bradford, David F., Schlieckert R., Shore, Stephen H.: 2000



12. Climate change mitigation in developing countries: Brazil, China, India, Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey, Pew
    Center on Global Climate Change.
    Chandler, W., Schaeffer, R., Dadi, Z., Shukla, P.R., Tudela, F., Davidson, O. and Alpan-Atamer, S.: 2002



13. Electric Power Options In India
    Developing Countries and Global Climate Change, Prepared for the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, October 1999.
    Chandler, William; Ghosh, Debyani; Logan Jeffrey and Shukla, P.R. (1999)



14. Emissions from HFC-based refrigeration and A/C equipment: Historical development and future trends
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Clodic, D.



15. IDSA: India's Energy Security Policy
    A Case for Nuclear Power
    http://www.idsa-india.org/an-nov9-4.html
    Dadwal, Shebonti Ray Research Fellow



16. Future Scenarios of Inventories of GHGs and Urban Pollutants from Delhi and Calcutta
    Proceedings of IGES/APN Mega-City Project 23-25 January 2002, Kitakyushu Japan
    Dasgupta A.; Mitra, A.P and Sharma, C. (2002)



17. Assessment of future HFC emissions in Indian RAC sector
    Report submitted to SDC, New Delhi, November 2000A
    Devotta, S and Asthana, S.



18. Estimation of HFCs, PFCs and SF6 Emissions in India
    Report submitted to MOEF through Winrock India International, November 2002
    Devotta, S and Asthana, S.



19. Usage of Hydrofluorocarbons, Perfluorocarbons and Sulphur hexafluoride in India - A Preliminary Study
    Report submitted to Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation, New Delhi, by National Chemical Laboratory, Pune, January 2000C.
    Devotta, S. and Asthana, S.



20. Why a 100 year time horizon should be used for global warming mitigation calculations
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 7: pp 19-30
    Fearnside, P.M.:2002



21. HFC, PFC and SF6 emission scenarios: Recent development in IPCC Report on emission scenarios
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999
    Fenhann, J.



22. Energy sector policies and Mitigation of GHG Emissions from India
    In Climate Change Economics and Policy: Indian Perspectives, Toman M. ed., Resources For the Future Publication, Washington DC.
    Garg A, Ghosh D and Shukla PR (2003)



23. Emission inventory of India
    Tata McGraw-Hill Publishing Co. Ltd., 2002, pg.3.
    Garg A. and Shukla P.



24. Sectoral and regional Greenhouse Gases Emissions for India
    Atmospheric Environment, 35, 2679-2695.
    Garg, A., Bhattacharya, S., Shukla, P.R. and Dadhwal, V.K.: 2001b



25. Integrated modelling system for energy and environment policies
    OPSEARCH (Special Issue on Energy and Environment Modelling), Vol. 38, No. 1, February.
    Garg, A., Ghosh, D., and Shukla, P.R.: 2001



26. Large Point Source (LPS) Analysis for India: Regional and Sectoral Analysis
    Atmospheric Environment, 36 (2002) 213-224.
    Garg, A., Kapshe, M. and Shukla, P.R. (2002b)



27. Sub-region (district) and sector level SO2 and NO x emissions for India: assessment of inventories and mitigation flexibility
    Atmospheric Environment 35, 703-713.
    Garg, A., Shukla, P.R., Bhattacharya, S., Dadhwal, V.K., (2001b)



28. Renewable Energy Technologies- Mitigation Potential and Operational Strategies
    In Climate Change in India: Issues, Concerns and Opportunities- Eds. P.R.Shukla, Subodh K. Sharma and P.Venkata Ramana, Tata McGraw-Hill Publishing Company Ltd, New Delhi.
    Garg, A.; Ghosh, Debyani, Ramana, V. and Shukla, P.R. (2002a)



29. Technologies, Policies and Measures for Energy and Environment Future
    Doctoral Thesis, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India.
    Garg, A.(2000)



30. PFC emissions from primary aluminum production
    Expert Group Meeting on Good Practice in Inventory Preparation - Industrial Processes and the New Gases, IPCC/OECD/IEA Programme on National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Washington, D.C., Jan. 1999.
    Gibbs, J.M., Bakshi, V., Lawson, K, and Pape, D.



31. Financial implications of emission reduction options for HFCs, PFCs and SF6
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Gluckman, R. and Yellen, D.



32. Dynamics of Transport and Energy Systems - History of Development and a Scenario for future, Austria
    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    Grubler, A., Nakicenivic, N. and Schafer, A.: 1993



33. Primary aluminum production: climate policy, emissions and costs
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Harnisch, J., Wing, I.S., Jacoby, H.D. and Prinn, R.G.



34. Industrial Pollution in Economic Development: Kuznets revisited
    Development Research Group, World Bank, Washington DC.
    Hettige, H., Mani, M. and Wheeler, D.: 1997



35. Carbon dioxide in marine refrigeration applications
    The Earth Technologies Forum, Conference Proceedings, Washington D.C., October 26-28, 1998
    Jakobsen, A. and Neksa, P.



36. Long-term-energy scenarios: the approach of The World Energy Council
    Global Energy Issues, Vol. 13, Nos. 1-3, pp.277-284.
    Jefferson, M. (2000)



37. Economic uncertainty and business decision-making'. In Beyond Positive Economics?
    J. Wiseman (ed.), Macmillan Press, London, pp. 122-159.
    Jefferson, M., (1983)



38. HFC Blowing Agents for Domestic Refrigerator Insulating Foam
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Johnson, B., Haworth, J., McInerney, E., and Swatkowski,L.



39. Climate Policy Assessment- Asia-Pacific Integrated Modelling
    Springer-Verlag Publications (Forthcoming).
    Kainuma, M.; Matsuoka, Y. and Morita, T. (2003)



40. Energy-Environment Policy and Technology Selection: Modelling and Analysis for India
    Doctoral Thesis, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India.
    Kanudia, A.(1996)



41. Centre for Environment and Explosive Safety
    Defence Institute for Fire Research (DIFR), Delhi (personal communication) 2003.
    Kaprwan, H.S.



42. Application of AIM/Local Model to India Using Area and Large Point Sources
    In M. Kainuma, Y. Matsuoka, and T. Morita (eds.). Climate Policy Assessment: Asia-Pacific Integrated Modelling, Tokyo, Springer-Verlag, Japan.
    Kapshe, M., Garg, A., and Shukla, P. R.: 2002



43. Tailor made HFC-245fa foam for appliance applications
    Appliance, pp.84-91, November 2002.
    King, J., Irwin, P., Latham, I., and Moore, S.



44. The decline continues
    Auto India, p-118, October 2000.
    Kumar, KCN



45. Emissions Scenarios for IPCC: An Update
    In: Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment. J.T. Houghton, B.A. Callander and S.K. Varney (eds.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 69-95.
    Leggett, J., W.J. Pepper, and R.J. Swart, (1992)



46. Energy and Environment Strategies for a Sustainable Future: Analysis with the Indian MARKAL Model, New Delhi
    Allied Publishers.
    Loulou, R., Shukla, P. R., and Kanudia, A.: 1997



47. Experiences in Germany
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Mahrenholz, P.
    
    
48. Applications and emissions of fluorocarbon gases: Past, present and prospects for the future
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    McFarland, M.



49. Domestic refrigeration refrigerants
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    McInerney, E., Haworth, J., Johnson, R. and Swatkowski, L.



50. HFC-134a and hydrocarbon appliances in domestic refrigeration: Market Trends, conversion
    Eco-refrigeration, Proceedings of the Conference on Hydrocarbon Fluids in Domestic and Commercial Refrigeration Appliances, 13-14 February 1996.
    Melzer, J.



51. Global emission sources of greenhouse gas emissions from industrial processes: SF6
    Expert Group Meeting on Good Practice in Inventory Preparation - Industrial Processes and The New Gases, IPCC/OECD/IEA Programme on National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Washington, D.C., Jan. 1999.
    Oliver, J and Bakker, J



52. SF6 from electrical equipment and other uses
    Expert Group Meeting on Good Practice in Inventory Preparation - Industrial Processes and The New Gases, IPCC/OECDI/EA Programme on National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Washington, D.C., Jan. 1999.
    Olivier, J and Bakker, J



53. SF6 emissions from magnesium
    Expert Group Meeting on Good Practice in Inventory Preparation - Industrial Processes and The New Gases, IPCC/OECD/IEA Programme on National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Washington, D.C., Jan. 1999.
    Palmer, B.



54. Methodology for Exploring Co-benefits of CO2 and SO2 Mitigation Policies in India using AIM/Enduse model
    In M. Kainuma, Y. Matsuoka and T. Morita (ed.), Climate Policy Assessment: Asia-Pacific Integrated Modelling, Tokyo, Japan, Springer-Verlag.
    Pandey, R. and Shukla P.R.: 2002



55. Energy policy modelling: agenda for developing countries
    Energy Policy, 30 (2): 97-106
    Pandey, R.: 2002



56. Ways of reducing consumption and emission of potent greenhouse gases (HFCs, PFCs and SF6) in the Nordic countries
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999
    Pedersen, P.H.



57. Options for reducing emissions of HFC's in developing countries
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Pinto, F. (UNDP), Si-Ahmed, S. M. (UNIDO), and Gorman, S. (World Bank)



58. Fluorocarbon alternatives in the fire protection sector
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Polak, B.K.



59. Presentation in the Asian Regional Workshop of the Consultative Group of Experts on National Communications from non-Annex I Parties, Bangkok, Thailand, 16-20 October 2000.
    
    
60. Energy Economy Model Applications for India: Long term GHG Trends and Mitigation Costs
    In Climate Change Economics and Policy: Indian Perspectives, Toman M. ed., Resources For the Future Publication, Washington DC (Forthcoming).
    Rana A and Shukla PR. (2002)



61. Macroeconomic Models for Long-Term Energy and Emissions in India
    OPSEARCH, Feb 2001.
    Rana, A. and Shukla, P.R. (2001)



62. U.S. voluntary approaches to reduce fluorocarbon and methane emissions
    Copenhagen 11-13 April 2000.
    Rand S. and Kruger D.



63. Opportunities for the reduction of HFC-23 emissions from the production of HCFC-22
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Rand, S., Ottinger, D. and Branscome, M.



64. Bending the Curve: Toward Global Sustainability
    A Report of the Global Scenario Group, PoleStar Series Report 8. Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm, 128 pp.
    Raskin, P., G. Gallopin, P. Gutman, A. Hammond, and R. Swart, (1998)



65. Energy and global warming impacts of HFC refrigerants and emerging technologies
    Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Tennessee, USA, 1997.
    Sand, J.R., Fischer, S.K., and Baxter, V.D.



66. Paper presented in the Conference on "Meeting Challenges in Change over to Ecological Refrigeration" New Delhi, 5 March 2002.
    Satpathy, S.S.



67. Japan's experience in the battle against air pollution: Working towards sustainable development
    Committee on Japan's experience in the battle against air pollution, Japan, The Pollution-Related Health Damage Compensation and Prevention Association.
    Sawa, T.: 1997



68. Determination of the fraction of blowing agent released from refrigerator/freezer foam after decommissioning the product
    Environment and Resources DTU, Technical University of Denmark, April 2002.
    Scheutz, C. and Kjedsen, P.



69. The Art of the Longview: Three global scenarios to 2005
    Doubleday Publications.
    Schwartz, P., (1991)



70. Interface of Montreal protocol with Kyoto protocol: Some issues
    Joint IPCC/TEAP Expert Meeting on Options for the Limitation of Emissions of HFCs and PFCs, Petten, The Netherlands, 26-28 May 1999.
    Sharma, V. and Bagai, A.



71. Energy Needs, Choices and Possibilities- Scenarios to 2050
    Exploring the future, Global Business Environment, 2001.Shell International 2001



72. Climate Change Mitigation: Shaping the Indian Strategy - P.R. Shukla (ed.)
    Allied Publishers, New Delhi.
    Shukla P.R. and Pandey R (1999a)



73. The Modelling of Policy Options for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in India
    Ambio, 25(4), 240-248.
    Shukla, P.R. (1996)



74. Energy Strategies and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Models and Policy Analysis for India
    Allied Publishers, New Delhi, India.
    Shukla, P.R. (1997b)



75. Energy Emissions Projections for India Industries using AIM/ENDUSE Model
    In Energy and Emissions Studies using AIM Model- Eds. T.Morita, Y. Matsuoka and M.Kainuma, Springer-Verlag Pulications, 2002
    Shukla, P.R. and Pandey, R. (1999b)



76. Integrated Modelling and Analysis of Long-term Energy and Emission Trajectories for India
    Proceedings of the IGES International Workshop on Climate Policy in Asia, Tokyo, Japan, Dec 17-18, 2001, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies, Japan. February.
    Shukla, P.R., Nair, R., and Rana, A.: 2002



77. Production of refrigeration systems that are using natural refrigerants
    Seminar on ODS Phase Out: Solutions for the Refrigeration Sector, Kuta, Bali, Indonesia, May 5-7, 1999.
    Sicars, S.



78. Energy efficiency and reduction of CO2 emissions through 2015: The Brazilian cement industry
    Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 5(3), 297-318.
    Soares, M.T. and Tolmasquim, M.T.: 2000



79. Air-conditioning unit using CO2 as refrigerant installed in a bus
    International Conference on Ozone Protection technologies, Washington, D.C., October 21-23, 1996.
    Sonnekalb, M. and Kohler, J.



80. CO2 refrigeration systems in automobile air-conditioning
    International Conference on Ozone Protection technologies, Washington, D.C., October 21-23, 1996.
    Wertenbach, J., Maue, J. and Volz, W.



81. How to build scenarios.
    WIRED (Special Edition: The Future of the Future, October 13 1995), Condé Nast Publications, San Francisco, CA.
    http://wired.lycos.com/wired/scenarios/build.htm
    Wilkerson, L., 1995