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Workshop on
Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation

Conference Hall 3, India International Centre Annexe, Lodi Road, New Delhi
August 11& 12, 2008

Day 1: August 11, 2008

0930-1000

Registration

1000-1115


Session I:  Inaugural

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Welcome

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The context and the Programme


Dr. Subodh. K. Sharma, NPD, NATCOM
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Remarks


Dr. Preeti Soni, Head, E &E  Unit, UNDP

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Remarks


Shri J. M Mauskar, Add. Secretary, MoEF

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Address

Shri. Vijai Sharma, Secretary, MoEF
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Vote of Thanks

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Tea

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1115-1300

Session II: Climate Change Scenarios

Chair : Dr. G. Sreenivasan, Ministry of Earth Sciences

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Climate Scenarios


Dr. Krishna Kumar, IITM
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Discussions and Chairman’s Summary

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1300-1400


Lunch

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Guidance for the proceeding of this session:

This session is dedicated to the discussion on climate change scenarios and its use to facilitate the smooth integration of these scenarios with the impacts and vulnerability assessments being carried out by the various groups. The session will  have therefore first, a presentation by Dr. K. Krishnakumar of IITM, Pune, the PI of the project that is developing the climate change scenarios for India’s Second National Communication, followed by discussions with  the users of these scenarios.

The critical issues that are expected to be highlighted in Dr. Krishna Kumar’s presentation are:

  • The NATCOM Objectives of the project
  • Models being used for the projections (GCMs/Regional models)
  • Resolution of the models
  • The different IPCC SRES scenarios being used to generate the model outputs
  • Outputs of each type of model run
  • Time line of the projections
  • Clarification on the definition of time lines, namely, short term, medium term and long term projections
  • The data packages that will be available
  • Time line of availability of the data packges

The issues that are expected to be sorted out during the session would include the following and any other issue that comes up during the discussions.

  • The model runs and the specific SRES scenarios that will be used for the impact assessments
  • Clarification on the time lines, to be used for undertaking the impact and vulnerability projections; i.e should we give the impacts for 2020s, 2050s and 2080s or 2050 and 2100 or any other time the experts together decide on
  • Availability of the requested data package and if not the alternative 
  • Time line of availability of the data packagea
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1400-1515


Session III: Socio Economic Scenarios & National Impact Assessments – Energy, Agriculture, Forests and Health
Chair : Prof. Jyoti Parikh, IRADe

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Socioeconomic scenarios


Prof. Kanchan Chopra, IIEG

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Energy & Infrastructure


Prof. P. R. Shukla, IIMA

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Agriculture - Crops


Prof. Pramod Aggarwal, IARI

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Agriculture- Marine fisheries


Dr. E.  Vivekanandan, CMFRI

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Forest Biodiversity

Prof. N. H. Ravindranath, IISc


Tea
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1515-1630

Session III: National Impact Assessments Continued – Water and Sea level rise
Chair : Prof. N. H. Ravindranath, IISc
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Assessment of River Runoff in major river basins

Prof. A. K. Gosain, IITD
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Assessment of river run off in the eastern region

Ashish Majumdar, JU
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Projections of water demand by Sector

Dr. Anjana Singh, NEERI
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Sea Level rise, cyclones, storm surges and inundation due to sea water incursion

Dr. Unni Krishnan, NIO
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Health- Malaria & Dengue

Dr. R. C. Dhiman, MRC
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Discussions & Chairman’s summary  for
Session - III

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Guidance for the proceeding of this session:

In this session, ten presentations will be made for 10 minutes each by the PI’s of the various studies being undertaken, followed by or interspersed with discussions. The PI’s are requested to limit the contents of their presentations to objectives, methodology, and the expected outputs of the projects assigned to them.  

The presentations should highlight :

  • The  approach being used to integrate the climate projection scenarios with impact projections
  • The data requirements thereof in accordance with the presentation and discussions carried out in Session I
  • The time lines for which these projections will be made
  • The resolution of the projections
  • The representation of some of the key interpretations (on GIS platform or any other software). 

The PIs’ are expected to critique each of the methodologies and provide constructive comments for refining the methodologies during the discussions in this session.


Day 2: August 12, 2008


Session IV: Integrated Assessments of Impacts, Vulnerability and development of Adaptation   Frameworks

1000-1100

Theme A: Climate Change, Water, Agriculture, Food security and Livelihoods
Chair : Dr. P. K. Aggarwal, IARI


Vulnerabilities of Agriculture and development of Adaptation

Dr. Anita Choudhary, IARI


Agriculture-Livestock and livelihood



Mr. P. K. Dutta, AFPRO
 

Regional crops in Tamilnadu and food security

Dr. V. Geethalakshmi, TNAU
 


Discussion and Chairpersons remarks

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1100-1115

Tea
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Theme B: Natural ecosystems and Livelihoods
Chair :
Prof. N. H. Ravindranath, IISc
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Ms. Rajasree Ray, MoEF, New Delhi
Adaptation projects in India

Prof. Jyoti Parikh, IRaDe
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Prof. Santosh Kumar, NIDM, New Delhi
Disaster management and adaptation to climate change

Prof. K. Narayanan, IITB
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Dr. V.K. Reddy, MANAGE, Hyderabad
SREP and watershed management programme


Dr. Issac Manuel, MSSRF
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Dr. Suruchi Bhadwal, TERI, New Delhi
Tools for enhancement of coping capacities

Dr. Manish Kumar, IMMT
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Dr. A. Nambi, MSSRF, Chennai
Vulnerability and adaptation issues in arid areas

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1215-1315


Theme C: Climate Change, Health and livelihoods
Chair :  Dr. R.C. Dhiman, MRC



Heat Stress

Dr. C. Sharma, NPL
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Water-Health- Livelihood and Adaptation

Dr. Joyashree Roy, JU
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Gender  Specific Vulnerabilities

Dr. Savita Aggarwal, IHE
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Discussion and Chairpersons remarks
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1315-1415

Lunch
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1415- 1515

Theme D: Natural Ecosystems, Forests, Forest products and Livelihoods

Chair : Dr. Jagdish Kishwan, ICFRE
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Adaptation to climate change to conserve forest ecosystems, biodiversity and for sustaining livelihoods

N. H. Ravindranath, IISc

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Forests-Forest products and Livelihoods –
A case study of North eastern region

Suruchi Badhwal, TERI
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Forests-Forest products and Livelihoods –
A case study in Madhya Pradesh

Dr. Brij Mohan, WII

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Discussion and Chairpersons remarks

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1515-1530

Evening Tea

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1530-1615

Theme E: Climate Change, Energy and Infrastructure

Chair : Prof. A.K.Gosain, IITD
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Vulnerability of Hydropower systems and adaptation

Dr. Amit Garg, IIMA
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Vulnerability of building stock

Dr. Manmohan Kapshe, MANIT
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Discussions & Chairpersons Remarks
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1615-1630

A review of the key decisions

Dr. Sumana Bhattacharya, NATCOM

1630-1700

Wrap up

Dr. Subodh Sharma, NATCOM

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Guidance for the proceeding of this session:

Five thematic areas will be covered during this session, namely,

  • Climate Change, Water, Agriculture, Food Security and livelihoods (1000-1100)
  • Climate change, Natural Ecosystems and Livelihoods (1115-12215)
  • Climate Change, Health and Livelihoods (1215-1315)
  • Climate change, Forests, Forest products and Livelihoods (1415-1530)
  • Climate Change, Energy and Infrastructure (1545-1630)

All the PI’s will make a 10 minute presentation each containing objectives, methodology, and the expected outputs of the projects assigned to them. It is expected that the presentation will highlight the framework for :

  • Understanding current climate
  • Understanding the linkages of the various parameters influencing the climate sensitive sector that is being investigated
  • Understanding current vulnerabilities and
  • Taking stock of the current adaptation measures (self, policies/programmes, institutional mechanisms, technologies, risk sharing measures)
  • Integrating climate change scenarios in understanding the enhanced vulnerabilities due to the exacerbated impacts
  • Identifying or defining the enhanced vulnerabilities or new vulnerabilities and risks arising due to climate change
  • Formulating an adaptation framework to deal with the expected climate change